An alternative approach to Belarus is expressed by an influential Polish politician.
Paweł Kowal suggest to think that Lukashenka will stay for long. And if so, let Russia deal with strong, but not weak Lukashenka. Paweł Kowal considers the attempts to bring changes to Belarus via Moscow naïve.
Mr. Kowal was a member of Law and Justice party founded by brothers Kaczyński. He is thought to be have an influential opinion regarding situation in Belarus.
In his new article Mr. Kowal expressed the position of the EU delegation which is alternative to that of Polish FM.
“We should treat Lukashenka with respect,” he writes in Nowa Europa Wschod¬nia.
“Did George Shultz or Ronald Reagan treat Wojciech Jaruzelski with disrespect? No. There was either ‘firm’ rhetoric or silence. The resolution was in actions, not verbal fights and unfulfilled statements.”
“In Lukashenka’s milieu there people who want changes,” Kowal is sure.
“They must receive clear signals that they will be listened to attentively, despite of the way the changes are brought by: revolution, evolution, etc.”
Kowal calls for cooperation with Sweden when making up the policy on Belarus and — between the lines — criticizes the strategy of Sikorski and Westerwelle.
According to Mr. Kowal, contacting Minsk is possible through Kiev, Tbilisi and Catholic Church.
“Lukashenka will not hold the transparent elections; there should not be any illusions about this.”
However, he may release political prisoners, to increase freedom of speech, decrease censorship and improve the situation with national minorities.
The position of Mr. Kowal has much in common with the attitudes of Brussels. The EU is ready to come back to 2010 EU–Belarus relations when all political prisoners are released, a European diplomat told Nasha Niva.
However, Europe cannot replace Moscow in funding the regime.
Financial support of Belarus is only possible in case of democratic changes in the country.
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